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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CDAP1sainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)43% (10–13, n=23)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$76K$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #843was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus93% (13 of 14 open)no open consensus position79% (11 of 14 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won56% of 18 at avg 34¢, ROI +8%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢44% (won 0% of 8)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 3)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 100% of 5)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 100% of 2)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCDAP1sainttroplayRN1primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K