Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CandleHammerDrumsRN1joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)77% (1509–443, n=1952)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)50% (10–10, n=20)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$2.1M$13.4M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +46 pts n=116, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=118, ROI +31%
  • Crypto +35 pts n=108, ROI +35%
Weakest topic———Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 75)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 122)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 121)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCandleHammerDrumsRN1joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $14KIgnacio Buse $42K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $15KMary Stoiana $21K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone $367Mariano Navone $3——