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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1509–444, n=1953) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | $5.8M | $13.4M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 75) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 122) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 121) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $7.0K | — | Mariano Navone $631 | — |