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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedBreakTheBank00gringo00sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)52% (3252–2972, n=6224)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$166K$10.6M$3.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #473PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus53% (79 of 150 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won85% of 2945 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 25% of 436)10% (won 85% of 53)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 74% of 237)36% (won 98% of 192)0%50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 93% of 526)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 1746)20% (won 100% of 107)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedBreakTheBank00gringo00sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $40K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8KNo $753——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $590——