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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (3829–3575, n=7404)62% (395–247, n=642)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$166K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #473PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus49% (73 of 149 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position89% (127 of 142 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won85% of 2959 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 24% of 437)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 74% of 239)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 93% of 535)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 1748)2% (won 100% of 7)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.