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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ChonkVisionjoseph00677primmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)58% (243–179, n=422)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$635K$3.3M$3.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #86PM monthly #7PM monthly #46PM monthly #60
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)no open consensus position79% (11 of 14 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +6 pts n=229, ROI +9%
  • NBA +20 pts n=11, ROI +20%
  • NFL +5 pts n=13, ROI +11%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=110——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won58% of 401 at avg 55¢, ROI +9%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 3)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 51% of 115)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 59% of 258)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 88% of 25)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.