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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CrouchPredictions | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (1106–318, n=1424) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #257 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (7 of 8 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (54 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 1000 at avg 63¢, ROI +14% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 9% of 91) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 45% of 143) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 82% of 320) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 98% of 446) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CrouchPredictions | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $31K | — | Commanders $1.1M |