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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (426–151, n=577)50% (2–2, n=4)68% (304–140, n=444)
Consensus PnL—$47K-$6.1K-$55K
Tracked asPM monthly #486PM monthly #20PM monthly #23PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (53 of 75 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (6 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +2 pts n=35, ROI 0%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=23Soccer −8 pts, n=40NBA −2 pts, n=33—
Settled positions, side won57% of 84 at avg 61¢, ROI −7%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 7% of 15)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 32% of 19)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 64% of 14)19% (won 29% of 17)29% (won 48% of 97)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 48% of 25)13% (won 55% of 11)45% (won 55% of 150)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 87% of 30)34% (won 83% of 30)21% (won 80% of 71)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpgmpm2RN1
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel
opposite sides · consensus Cosme de Ravel
—Mattia Bellucci $590—Cosme de Ravel $3.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $4.2K—Alex Michelsen $8.5K
Hersonissos 3: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
—Lorenzo Carboni $2.3K—Lorenzo Carboni $7.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $214—Lorenzo Sonego $2.3K
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $54—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685