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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DavidShekel | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (403–863, n=1266) | 52% (6510–6010, n=12520) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $156K | $3.3M | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #374 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #102 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (33 of 44 open) | 72% (210 of 292 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (95 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=17 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 18% of 136) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 76% of 34) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 90% of 87) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 321) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DavidShekel | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | — | Yes $351 |
| Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase? opposite sides · consensus No | No $22 | — | — | Yes $22 |
| Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | — | — | Yes $16 |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | No $192 | — | — | No $173 |
| Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | No $16 | — | — | No $17 |