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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Diabolical-Prize | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (186–198, n=384) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.7M | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #5 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 26% (5 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 74% (73 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 186 at avg 54¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 80% of 5) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 97% of 72) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 86) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 100% of 23) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Diabolical-Prize | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5 | — | — | Yes $118 |