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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DildoPhagginsbeachboy4CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$992$5.8M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #355was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 96¢, ROI +4%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢0%54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDildoPhagginsbeachboy4CORGIIBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.1K——Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12K——Yes $169K