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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DolphinBallerBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)54% (95–82, n=177)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$26K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #762PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +55 pts n=35, ROI +55%
  • NBA +52 pts n=39, ROI +48%
  • NFL +56 pts n=16, ROI +55%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 93 at avg 46¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 100% of 12)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 43)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 35)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDolphinBallerBreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $1.5KChiefs $465K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $1.4KChiefs $152K
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $1.9KCommanders $42K
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $566Magic $24K