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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (333–172, n=505) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$198K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #695 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Politics −5 pts, n=31 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 613 at avg 72¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 7% of 87) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 35% of 48) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 66% of 76) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 402) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DonaldinhoTrumpito | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | — | No $22K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.3K | — | Yes $28K |