← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| EV-Andars | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (40–44, n=84) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$57K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #350 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 39 at avg 63¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 18) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 14) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | EV-Andars | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.6K | No $252K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $542 | Yes $1.4K | — | — |