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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSpam | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1533–2176, n=3709) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 8% (1 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (111 of 152 open) | 56% (32 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3214 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 1109) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 472) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 59% of 742) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 891) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $115 | Yes $84 |