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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EulhunterBreakTheBankRN1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$271K$10.6M$13.4M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #340PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)90% (146 of 163 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhunterBreakTheBankRN1joseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone
Luca Van Assche $738—Mariano Navone $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $2.7K—Ignacio Buse $42K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $247—Mary Stoiana $21K—