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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EulhuntersurfandturfRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)52% (273–252, n=525)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$271K$4.1M$13.4M$19.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #340was PM monthly #326PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)50% (1 of 2 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NFL −11 pts, n=58—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)20% (won 12% of 109)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)21% (won 46% of 114)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)33% (won 60% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)26% (won 82% of 137)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhuntersurfandturfRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone
Luca Van Assche $852—Mariano Navone $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Ignacio Buse
Ignacio Buse $2.7K—Ignacio Buse $42K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $247—Mary Stoiana $21K—