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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FaroeseNationalistFlaznorpprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)49% (603–632, n=1235)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$9.5K$4.1M$3.6M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #10PM monthly #55PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)66% (99 of 151 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=109Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won49% of 1192 at avg 47¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 24% of 144)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 45% of 498)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 57% of 488)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 74% of 62)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.