Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Favorite-Cave-MuscatCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)77% (204–62, n=266)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$59K$4.5M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position71% (15 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −2 pts, n=20———
Settled positions, side won80% of 189 at avg 71¢, ROI +4%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 11% of 18)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 58% of 26)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 76% of 25)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 96% of 120)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.