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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBirdFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6519–6017, n=12536)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (226 of 323 open)no open consensus position64% (27 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFeedTheBigBirdFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.0K—Lavinia Tanasie $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
—GenOne $2—Brute $833
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $18—Ivan Gakhov $207
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $48—Lisa Pigato $76
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $8.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $6.1K—Nuno Borges $8.7K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—Yes $5.4K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—Yes $9.9K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9K—Over $3.0K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $4.3K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $270—Over $686
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $5—Renata Zarazua $576
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42