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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJa888ndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)85% (33–6, n=39)63% (1096–631, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$4.6K$4.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #430PM monthly #113PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus71% (106 of 150 open)100% (2 of 2 open)73% (73 of 100 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%80% of 35 at avg 79¢, ROI +9%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 50% of 2)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)17% (won 67% of 6)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)71% (won 92% of 25)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJa888ndb1S-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $27K—Bilibili Gaming $151K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $70——Bilibili Gaming $51K