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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Kaczka | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 52% (428–403, n=831) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $12K | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (305 of 441 open) | no open consensus position | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 63% (24 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 4% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 72% of 125) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 62% (won 88% of 347) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 11% (won 92% of 62) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Kaczka | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $60 | — | — | Eastern Michigan $417 |