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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Kaczkandb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)52% (435–409, n=844)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.3M$13K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #2was PM monthly #997PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus79% (231 of 293 open)no open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)72% (69 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +28 pts n=426, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 68% of 25)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 72% of 125)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)62% (won 88% of 347)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 92% of 62)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677Kaczkandb1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $43K—Yes $7—
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16K—Yes $8—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille $9.2K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $19—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $32K—Yes $288—