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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677juice-fruitRN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (418–147, n=565)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)68% (299–138, n=437)
Consensus PnL$45K—$152K-$50K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #7PM monthly #28PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (22 of 38 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)25% (won 100% of 12)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)44% (won 100% of 21)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 100% of 14)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677juice-fruitRN1
Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt
same side · consensus Tristan Schoolkate
Tristan Schoolkate $2.4K——Tristan Schoolkate $7.1K
Matsuyama: Takuya Kumasaka vs Yi Zhou
same side · consensus Yi Zhou
Takuya Kumasaka $96——Takuya Kumasaka $147