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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1103–1116, n=2219)40% (291–441, n=732)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$3.6M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #46PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus78% (124 of 160 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (329 of 418 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.