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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmwesting.v1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)47% (48–55, n=103)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #8PM monthly #46was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus77% (93 of 121 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +44 pts n=20, ROI +43%
  • NHL +47 pts n=13, ROI +44%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 48 at avg 54¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)44% (won 100% of 21)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)33% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)21% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmwesting.v1
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Penguins $14——Ducks $67