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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmzerone777
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1103–1116, n=2219)39% (440–686, n=1126)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$3.6M$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #46PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus75% (140 of 186 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (308 of 418 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.