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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorplava-lavaprimmTeGeeLP
Record (consensus markets)48% (59–64, n=123)53% (149–134, n=283)75% (9–3, n=12)50% (46–46, n=92)
Consensus PnL$300K$1.1M$91K$382K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #108PM monthly #55PM monthly #438
Sides with the consensus66% (156 of 238 open)63% (39 of 62 open)43% (6 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40Finance −17 pts, n=11——
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2%—51% of 90 at avg 47¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)34% (won 9% of 93)—16% (won 36% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)23% (won 48% of 64)—44% (won 43% of 40)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)20% (won 67% of 54)—32% (won 62% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)24% (won 92% of 65)—8% (won 86% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorplava-lavaprimmTeGeeLP
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $82—Vikings $17K—