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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1pelik
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)65% (886–468, n=1354)99% (4533–14, n=4547)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$83K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #145PM monthly #431
Sides with the consensus63% (196 of 312 open)74% (34 of 46 open)92% (12 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Finance +9 pts n=15, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=20, ROI 0%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 3195 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)0% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)100% (won 100% of 3191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1pelik
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.6K—Over $2.9K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $47—Over $808
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5—Over $800
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $758
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K—Yes $2.0K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $142—Under $980
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
FC Andorra $344—FC Andorra $550
Spread: CD Tenerife (-3.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
FC Andorra $98—FC Andorra $554