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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmzerone777
Record (consensus markets)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)63% (991–574, n=1565)50% (1107–1127, n=2234)29% (472–1178, n=1650)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$3.6M$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #92PM monthly #48PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus75% (78 of 104 open)70% (52 of 74 open)no open consensus position92% (12 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Elections ±0 pts, n=212
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%43% of 609 at avg 44¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)50% (won 2% of 307)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)5% (won 29% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)7% (won 64% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)37% (won 96% of 226)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.