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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | primm | S-Works | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13382–10751, n=24133) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) | 53% (31–27, n=58) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $3.7M | $3.6M | -$4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #66 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (73 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 24% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 40% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 36% (won 100% of 9) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.