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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | rainbowlilies | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (421–148, n=569) | no settled market | 68% (301–139, n=440) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $47K | $560 | -$52K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #543 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (33 of 48 open) | 38% (5 of 13 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | — | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 89 at avg 48¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 10% of 30) | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 29% of 17) | — | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 52% (won 100% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 55% of 11) | — | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 30% (won 100% of 27) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 83% of 30) | — | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 7% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | rainbowlilies | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Lorenzo Angelini vs Robin Bertrand opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand | Robin Bertrand $1.1K | — | Lorenzo Angelini $75 | — |
| Brisbane 3: Tristan Schoolkate vs Cruz Hewitt same side · consensus Cruz Hewitt | Tristan Schoolkate $6.1K | — | Tristan Schoolkate $17K | — |
| Brisbane 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Alex Bolt same side · consensus Alex Bolt | Alex Bolt $411 | — | Alex Bolt $1.2K | — |