← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6666–6894, n=13560) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$350K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (14 of 35 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (20 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Under $213 |