Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GC-Pjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)82% (5556–1211, n=6767)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (988–572, n=1560)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$148K$5.3M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #545PM monthly #2PM monthly #104PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (73 of 102 open)no open consensus position76% (100 of 132 open)54% (19 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 99% of 259)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 895)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 954)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 2163)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGC-Pjoseph00677ndb1RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Tereza Valentova $142——Alexandra Eala $40K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $31—Yes $11K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $643——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $1.5K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $22—No $335K—