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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GGLPL00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (650–615, n=1265)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$3.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus77% (10 of 13 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position90% (144 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +42 pts n=44, ROI +27%
  • NFL +42 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +33 pts n=53, ROI +20%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won81% of 445 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 44% of 52)0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 74% of 97)0%26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 87% of 214)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 94% of 82)0%24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGGLPL00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $65——Yes $66K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $25——No $32K