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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GGLPLRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (650–615, n=1265)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +42 pts n=44, ROI +27%
  • NFL +42 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +33 pts n=53, ROI +20%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won81% of 445 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 44% of 52)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 74% of 97)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 87% of 214)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 94% of 82)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGGLPLRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $65——Yes $68K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $26——No $32K