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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gaditima | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (3570–4153, n=7723) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $14.8M | $5.8M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #498 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (30 of 45 open) | 55% (24 of 44 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=1335 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 6510 at avg 46¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 7% of 2259) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 36% of 1122) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 62% of 1380) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 89% of 1749) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gaditima | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.6K | — | — | Yes $6.8K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $238 | — | — | No $114K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $615 | — | — | Yes $83K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | — | — | Yes $7 |