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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Greedo | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (197–223, n=420) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $14.8M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #225 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 57% (25 of 44 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | College Football −9 pts, n=50 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 349 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 14% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 40% of 128) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 55% of 156) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 78% of 9) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Greedo | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Bulls $5.1K | 76ers $114 | — |