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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Gucky-45BreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)33% (745–1518, n=2263)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$166K$11.0M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #346PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus67% (40 of 60 open)91% (150 of 165 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −4 pts, n=52——
Settled positions, side won3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢98% (won 2% of 1883)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 29% of 21)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 70% of 10)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up0% (won 75% of 4)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGucky-45BreakTheBank00gringo00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $425No $253K—
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19Yes $200—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19Yes $200—
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11Yes $200—
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11Yes $200—