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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (51 of 100 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 74% (73 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $3 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138 | Felipe de Dios $1 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Valentin Garay $2 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $13 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1 | Over $20 | — | — |