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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTradingRN1CORGIIsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)54% (3251–2728, n=5979)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)62% (395–247, n=642)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$11K$13.4M$4.5M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus79% (22 of 28 open)100% (4 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +47 pts n=57, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=305, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +24 pts n=29, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 415 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 30)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 84)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 99% of 110)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 100% of 191)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTradingRN1CORGIIsainttroplay
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
Carol Young Suh Lee $1Maria Sakkari $1.4K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $47Aliaksandra Sasnovich $101K——