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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTradingbeachboy400gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2951–2450, n=5401)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$11K$5.8M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus51% (50 of 99 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)3% (won 17% of 6)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)29% (won 56% of 62)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)14% (won 86% of 29)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTradingbeachboy400gringo00primm
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
Chargers $29——Chargers $1.1K