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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (3191–2657, n=5848) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (27 of 50 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (7 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $76 | — | — | Commanders $27K |
| Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura same side · consensus Yanki Erel | Yanki Erel $1 | — | — | Yanki Erel $7.1K |