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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HVAB | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (632–162, n=794) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $451K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #654 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (62 of 85 open) | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 50% (15 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 703 at avg 78¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 13% of 31) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 57% of 56) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 72% of 129) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 95% of 487) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HVAB | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes same side · consensus Inaki Montes | Inaki Montes $482 | — | — | Inaki Montes $1.3K |