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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3464–2954, n=6418) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $3.5M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (31 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 63% (19 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 0% | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $13K | — | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $9.2K | — | — | Celtics $3 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.2K | — | — | Magic $10 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $338 | — | — | Under $213 |