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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | RN1 | 00gringo00 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3488–2983, n=6471) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $13.4M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | 00gringo00 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $212 | Steelers $14 | — | — |