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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | petanimal | SineNooneEI | Sisyphus- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (39–41, n=80) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 60% (15–10, n=25) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $5 | $111K | -$37K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #283 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #314 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (39 of 53 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | 98% of 463 at avg 58¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 3) | — | 5% (won 83% of 23) | 4% (won 82% of 17) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 64) | — | 36% (won 88% of 182) | 24% (won 97% of 112) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 62) | — | 44% (won 93% of 224) | 48% (won 99% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 20) | — | 16% (won 99% of 82) | 24% (won 100% of 110) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.