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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JohnLKellyJr00gringo00CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (1264–1117, n=2381)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$50K$3.5M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #705was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicF1 −3 pts, n=17———
Settled positions, side won74% of 1723 at avg 55¢, ROI +20%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 35% of 148)0%9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 66% of 412)0%56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 77% of 886)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 95% of 277)0%2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJohnLKellyJr00gringo00CORGIIprimm
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $2.5K—TheMongolz $2.2K—