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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JohnLKellyJr | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (1264–1117, n=2381) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $50K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #705 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | F1 −3 pts, n=17 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 1723 at avg 55¢, ROI +20% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 35% of 148) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 66% of 412) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 51% (won 77% of 886) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 95% of 277) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JohnLKellyJr | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz | Legacy $2.5K | — | — | TheMongolz $2.2K |