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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Justluck9RN1beachboy4joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)43% (128–167, n=295)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL-$1.6K$13.4M$5.8M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #947PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)83% (5 of 6 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +48 pts n=48, ROI +48%
  • MLB +48 pts n=31, ROI +45%
  • NFL +57 pts n=12, ROI +52%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won96% of 132 at avg 47¢, ROI +49%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 94% of 16)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 56)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 92% of 53)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJustluck9RN1beachboy4joseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Buse
Zizou Bergs $3Ignacio Buse $42K——